Last updated December 22, 2021

Standings

Rank Team Wins Remaining Games Win % Win % Rank Projected Wins (FPI) Projected Rank (FPI)
1 Steve Creaser 28 6 66.7% 1 33.5 1
2 Dan Ellenberger 26 6 61.9% 2 31.1 2
3 Matt Hogel 23 6 54.8% 3 27.3 4
3 Gavin Gray 23 6 54.8% 3 27.7 3
5 Nick Boucher 22 6 52.4% 5 26.8 5
5 Luke Phelan 22 6 52.4% 5 26.7 6
7 Andrew Batchelor 21 6 50.0% 7 25.6 7
8 Karl Loiseau 19 6 45.2% 8 22.9 9
8 Mike Thorne 19 6 45.2% 8 23.6 8
10 Andrew Moeller 15 6 35.7% 10 19.2 10

Expanded Standings

Team Wins Projected
Wins
Next
Opponent
Win Probability
in Next Game
Steve Creaser
Dallas Cowboys 10 11.8 WAS 0.83
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 12.4 @CAR 0.81
Cincinnati Bengals 8 9.3 BAL 0.59
Dan Ellenberger
Arizona Cardinals 10 11.8 IND 0.54
Tennessee Titans 9 10.9 SF 0.39
Minnesota Vikings 7 8.4 RAM 0.39
Gavin Gray
New England Patriots 9 11.0 BUF 0.59
Cleveland Browns 7 8.4 @GB 0.25
Denver Broncos 7 8.3 @LVR 0.50
Matt Hogel
Los Angeles Rams 10 11.7 @MIN 0.61
San Francisco 49ers 8 9.8 @TEN 0.61
Carolina Panthers 5 5.8 TB 0.19
Luke Phelan
Indianapolis Colts 8 9.9 @ARI 0.46
Philadelphia Eagles 7 8.7 NYG 0.80
Pittsburgh Steelers 7 8.1 @KC 0.19
Nick Boucher
Green Bay Packers 11 13.1 CLE 0.75
Los Angeles Chargers 8 10.0 @HOU 0.81
New York Jets 3 3.7 JAX 0.50
Andrew Batchelor
Baltimore Ravens 8 9.6 @CIN 0.41
New Orleans Saints 7 8.9 MIA 0.61
Atlanta Falcons 6 7.1 DET 0.69
Karl Loiseau
Kansas City Chiefs 10 12.0 PIT 0.81
Miami Dolphins 7 8.1 @NO 0.39
Jacksonville Jaguars 2 2.8 @NYJ 0.50
Mike Thorne
Buffalo Bills 8 10.3 @NE 0.41
Las Vegas Raiders 7 8.1 DEN 0.50
New York Giants 4 5.2 @PHI 0.20
Andrew Moeller
Washington 6 7.3 @DAL 0.17
Seattle Seahawks 5 6.8 CHI 0.72
Chicago Bears 4 5.1 @SEA 0.28

Weekly Head-to-Heads

Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested

Draft Analysis

Team Wins Draft
Spot
Expected
Wins
Performance vs.
Expectation
Better
Choices
Steve Creaser
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 1 11 -1 1
Dallas Cowboys 10 20 7 3 0
Cincinnati Bengals 8 27 4 4 0
Dan Ellenberger
Tennessee Titans 9 8 9 0 1
Arizona Cardinals 10 17 7 3 0
Minnesota Vikings 7 21 7 0 1
Matt Hogel
Los Angeles Rams 10 7 9 1 0
San Francisco 49ers 8 11 8 0 3
Carolina Panthers 5 28 4 1 0
Gavin Gray
Cleveland Browns 7 10 8 -1 6
New England Patriots 9 12 8 1 2
Denver Broncos 7 24 6 1 1
Nick Boucher
Green Bay Packers 11 3 10 1 0
Los Angeles Chargers 8 13 8 0 2
New York Jets 3 30 3 0 0
Luke Phelan
Pittsburgh Steelers 7 9 8 -1 6
Indianapolis Colts 8 14 8 0 2
Philadelphia Eagles 7 23 6 1 1
Andrew Batchelor
Baltimore Ravens 8 5 10 -2 5
New Orleans Saints 7 15 7 0 3
Atlanta Falcons 6 26 5 1 1
Karl Loiseau
Kansas City Chiefs 10 2 10 0 1
Miami Dolphins 7 16 7 0 3
Jacksonville Jaguars 2 29 3 -1 2
Mike Thorne
Buffalo Bills 8 4 10 -2 5
Las Vegas Raiders 7 18 7 0 2
New York Giants 4 25 5 -1 3
Andrew Moeller
Seattle Seahawks 5 6 10 -5 18
Washington 6 19 7 -1 5
Chicago Bears 4 22 7 -3 5

Draft Results