NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 22, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 28 | 6 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Dan Ellenberger | 26 | 6 | 61.9% | 2 | 31.1 | 2 |
| 3 | Matt Hogel | 23 | 6 | 54.8% | 3 | 27.3 | 4 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 23 | 6 | 54.8% | 3 | 27.7 | 3 |
| 5 | Nick Boucher | 22 | 6 | 52.4% | 5 | 26.8 | 5 |
| 5 | Luke Phelan | 22 | 6 | 52.4% | 5 | 26.7 | 6 |
| 7 | Andrew Batchelor | 21 | 6 | 50.0% | 7 | 25.6 | 7 |
| 8 | Karl Loiseau | 19 | 6 | 45.2% | 8 | 22.9 | 9 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 19 | 6 | 45.2% | 8 | 23.6 | 8 |
| 10 | Andrew Moeller | 15 | 6 | 35.7% | 10 | 19.2 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 11.8 | WAS | 0.83 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10 | 12.4 | @CAR | 0.81 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 9.3 | BAL | 0.59 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 10 | 11.8 | IND | 0.54 |
| Tennessee Titans | 9 | 10.9 | SF | 0.39 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 8.4 | RAM | 0.39 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| New England Patriots | 9 | 11.0 | BUF | 0.59 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 8.4 | @GB | 0.25 |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 8.3 | @LVR | 0.50 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 10 | 11.7 | @MIN | 0.61 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 9.8 | @TEN | 0.61 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 5.8 | TB | 0.19 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 9.9 | @ARI | 0.46 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 8.7 | NYG | 0.80 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 8.1 | @KC | 0.19 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 11 | 13.1 | CLE | 0.75 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 10.0 | @HOU | 0.81 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 3.7 | JAX | 0.50 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 9.6 | @CIN | 0.41 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 | 8.9 | MIA | 0.61 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 7.1 | DET | 0.69 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 12.0 | PIT | 0.81 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 8.1 | @NO | 0.39 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 2.8 | @NYJ | 0.50 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 10.3 | @NE | 0.41 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 7 | 8.1 | DEN | 0.50 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 5.2 | @PHI | 0.20 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Washington | 6 | 7.3 | @DAL | 0.17 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 6.8 | CHI | 0.72 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 5.1 | @SEA | 0.28 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10 | 1 | 11 | -1 | 1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 9 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 10 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 10 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| New England Patriots | 9 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 11 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 9 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 29 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 4 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 7 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 25 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 18 |
| Washington | 6 | 19 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 22 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
Draft Results
